The fresh new denominator ‘s the level of divorced women in age category and you may year in every claims
Lookin way more directly on widows over age 60, we come across that in the 1977 their relationship rate try dos per cent beneath the standard year and also in 1978, the year pursuing the rules introduced, the marriage speed was 13 percent below the newest baseline season. 59] , hence supports the possibility that widows over age sixty defer marriage until the marriage penalty was got rid of. In the 1979, the season the law turned active, the wedding price try 20 percent greater than the brand new baseline, the most significant confident departure in our test months. The 1978 and you will 1979 consequences is statistically different than one another at the one percent height [F(1,513)=] . The wedding Utländska amerikanska kvinnor skillnad price was still above the baseline into the 1980, however, merely of the 2 per cent. These types of regression efficiency make sure the new surge inside the Panel A great off Contour step one was statistically tall.
This means that that, typically, legislation changes didn’t have tall effects into widows lower than many years sixty, but we investigate it further in future regressions.
H3: Divorced women do not deal with instance higher benefits of waiting up until many years 60, ergo these types of exact same trends must not are present in their eyes.
The wedding rates patterns having divorced female don’t showcase new manner revealed to have widows. The major committee out of Profile 2 means that discover limited develops from the relationships cost regarding divorced women in 1979. This new style to own sixty- so you’re able to 70-year-olds are not due to the fact striking since manner to own widows. For the an effective regression study much like one to significantly more than, found at the bottom panel out-of Contour dos and you will Appendix Desk 1, we discover that deviations on the baseline season was somewhat more having separated women who reaches the very least age 60 cousin to people women who was significantly less than years 60 when you look at the 1970, 1971, 1975, 1976, 1980, and 1981. As opposed to new widows, there is not an obvious trend close the new 1979 law alter.
Throughout the not as much as 60 group, we cannot reject new hypothesis your coefficient with the any step one-12 months dummy is statistically diverse from the latest coefficient towards 12 months following in almost any seasons except 1988
Panel A great (descriptive statistics) shows that the wedding speed patterns having separated women do not showcase the newest styles revealed to possess widows. That it committee suggests limited develops regarding the wedding rates of divorced feminine aged sixty–70 into the 1979. Again, brand new relationship trend to own separated women aged 60–70 commonly since striking because the individuals for widows.
Certainly divorced women at least age 60, the marriage cost inside the 1977, 1978, and you can 1979 was 20, 24, and 10 % underneath the marriage rates on baseline year out-of 1968. The rates commonly statistically distinct from one another at simple accounts.
Committee B (regression abilities) suggests that brand new deviations regarding standard 12 months (1969) are somewhat different to possess divorced ladies who reaches minimum ages sixty in line with women less than ages sixty into the 1970, 1971, 1975, 1976, 1980, and you can 1981. In place of the fresh trend to possess widows, there is absolutely no clear pattern close the fresh new 1979 law changes. (Full regression email address details are in Appendix Desk step 1.)
Among separated women lower than ages sixty, the wedding costs refuse rather ranging from 1979 (29 % beneath the standard) and 1980 (47 per cent underneath the baseline), hinting in the chance these particular divorced women were alternatives to own the brand new widows who have been now able to wed in place of penalty.
Notes: The fresh numerator ‘s the adjusted number of ong divorced feamales in this group and you can year off says which were in the MRA for everybody age anywhere between 1968 and you can 1995 and this claimed earlier in the day relationship condition on their relationships certificates. Discover Appendix Table 1 getting details on coefficients and practical mistakes.